The Challenge of Cobalt Exposure and the Cobalt 27 Business Model
August 16, 2017
The battery industry is at a tipping point, with explosive demand increases from both the automobile industry and grid storage industry. With strong, anticipated growth in the coming years, battery metals represent an exciting and rewarding investment opportunity. As with all commodities, the harder a metal is to acquire, the greater the value, and when it comes to being hard to come by, cobalt is the king of the battery metals.
If you’ve read my previous posts on why Cobalt is getting so much attention and vulnerabilities of cobalt supply you’ll know that the majority of cobalt is produced as a by-product of copper and nickel mines. Some of the world’s largest mining companies produce cobalt, however, because they are not pure plays on the metal, they expose investors to a number of other commodities, which may not be related to the electric vehicle thematic. In addition, the world’s largest reserves are located in the DRC (Democratic Republic of Congo) – a particularly difficult and dangerous mining jurisdiction.
The challenge as an investor, therefore, is getting exposure to cobalt without opening yourself up to very high levels of sovereign risk. These are some of the challenges that Cobalt 27 was set up to successfully address. Namely, to create an investor-friendly vehicle designed to maximize exposure to the electric vehicle thematic by allowing the investor to invest directly in cobalt, without the exploration, concentration or jurisdictional risk.
The Cobalt 27 business model is designed to isolate cobalt for investors and to do so in a way that offsets the risks commonly associated with this vital battery metal. Let’s take a look at our approach:
Physical Cobalt. We purchase and hold physical cobalt. This is not as simple as sounds. In fact, many funds are unable to buy and hold the material. We have constant disclosure on how much cobalt we are holding at any given time and you can even price it yourself using metals bulletin. We currently hold 2,158 metric tons of cobalt (1,487 high grade and 671 of standard grade).
Now, it’s important to note here that we do not actively speculate on short-term, day-to-day cobalt pricing activity. Cobalt’s importance as a battery metal, and the associated supply challenges, mean we are focused on appreciation in value, over the long term, of our physical cobalt inventory. One of the great strengths of this approach is that, when an investor holds our stock, they know the value is underpinned by our physical cobalt holdings.
Streams/royalties. With a “stream” or “royalty”, you’re essentially paying for the commodity for a fixed period of time (ideally life of mine) at a fixed price. In a strong market such as cobalt, this can provide excellent exposure over an extended period by locking in quantity, quality and price. In the short time since launching, we have already acquired a number of net smelter return (NSR) royalties on exploration-stage properties that contain cobalt. We have an agreement in place for another royalty and are in negotiations with several other companies, including producers, near-term producers and exploration companies. Below, you will find our current list.
|North Canol Properties*||Golden Ridge Resources Ltd.||Yukon||2% Co NSR|
|Triangle Property||New Found Gold Corp.||Ontario||2% Co NSR|
|Rusty Lake Property||New Found Gold Corp.||Ontario||2% Co NSR|
|Professor & Waldman Properties*||New Found Gold Corp.||Ontario||2% Co NSR|
|Sunset Mineral Property||Three individual owners||British Columbia||2% Co NSR|
Mineral Properties. In the near-to-medium term, our focus will remain on physical cobalt and streams/royalties. As we expand, however, we may also acquire interests in producing mines and/or exploration and development projects. Successful M&A, particularly in a bull market, requires the right team. This sort of experience – identifying the right projects, conducting detailed due diligence and negotiating the right deal – is something our team possesses a great deal of. In fact, if you’ve not done so already, I recommend taking a look at our Management Team and Board of Directors.
My overall objective in this blog post is more than just providing an overview of our three-pronged, pure-play approach to cobalt. The vulnerabilities inherent in cobalt supply represent a potentially very high level of risk for investors. If you need convincing, spend some time googling “Democratic Republic of Congo” or read my earlier blog post on the subject. Our business model is specifically built around minimizing those risks, while maximizing exposure to the incredible upside for cobalt, which is coming from the battery boom. Moreover, it is a business model being implemented by one of the most experienced teams in the cobalt sector.
In the coming weeks, I’ll be discussing individual elements of our business and the industry in more detail. In the meantime, if you have any questions, be sure to get in touch.
Anthony Milewski, Director, Cobalt 27
Forward-Looking Information: Some of the posted entries on the CEO Corner may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements address future events and conditions which involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by them. Examples of forward looking information and assumptions include future estimates of the worldwide supply and demand for cobalt and other metals and the effect that these changes could have on the short term and long term price of cobalt and other metals on the world markets, statements regarding the future operating or financial performance of Cobalt 27 including the net present value, metal recoveries, capital costs, operating costs, production, rates of return and payback. Forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may not prove to be accurate. Such statements are qualified in their entirety by the inherent risks and uncertainties surrounding future expectations. Among those factors which could cause actual results to differ materially are the following: market conditions and other risk factors listed from time to time in our reports filed with Canadian securities regulators on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as "may", "will", "should", "expect", "projects", "plans", "anticipates" and similar expressions. These statements represent management's expectations or beliefs concerning, among other things, future operations and various components thereof affecting the economic performance of Cobalt 27. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements which are based upon management's assumptions and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, including the business risks discussed above, which may cause actual performance and financial results in future periods to differ materially from any projections of future performance or results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, readers are cautioned that events or circumstances could cause results to differ materially from those predicted.
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